What is a candlestick?
A candlestick is a way of displaying information about an asset’s price movement. Candlestick charts are one of the most popular components of technical analysis, enabling traders to interpret price information quickly and from just a few price bars.
This article focuses on a daily chart, wherein each candlestick details a single day’s trading. It has three basic features:
- The body, which represents the open-to-close range
- The wick, or shadow, that indicates the intra-day high and low
- The colour, which reveals the direction of market movement – a green (or white) body indicates a price increase, while a red (or black) body shows a price decrease
Over time, individual candlesticks form patterns that traders can use to recognise major support and resistance levels. There are a great many candlestick patterns that indicate an opportunity within a market – some provide insight into the balance between buying and selling pressures, while others identify continuation patterns or market indecision.
Before you start trading, it’s important to familiarise yourself with the basics of candlestick patterns and how they can inform your decisions.
Practise reading candlestick patterns
The best way to learn to read candlestick patterns is to practise entering and exiting trades from the signals they give. You can develop your skills in a risk-free environment by opening an demo account, or if you feel confident enough to start trading, you can open a live account today.
When using any candlestick pattern, it is important to remember that although they are great for quickly predicting trends, they should be used alongside other forms of technical analysis to confirm the overall trend. You can learn more about candlesticks and technical analysis with Academy’s online courses.
The limitations of candlestick patterns
There are pros and cons to any trading tool or indicator you’re using — and
it’s the same for
forex candlestick patterns.
So before you trade it, here are
some of the things you need to be aware of…
·
You must tweak your candlestick pattern for the
forex markets
·
Candlestick pattern doesn’t tell you how did
price move
·
Candlestick pattern doesn’t show you the “big
picture” Let me explain…
1. You must tweak
your candlestick patterns for the forex markets
A gap occurs
when a candle opens a distance away (either higher or lower) from the previous
close. This happens in markets with fixed trading hours like stocks and
exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
An example:
This happens when there’s an
imbalance buying/selling pressure at the pre-market open.
The opening
price is the price which has the most number of transactions that took place
(between buyers and sellers).
Unlike stocks and
ETFs, the forex market is traded 24/5, from Monday to Friday. Thus, you hardly
see any gaps on a day to day basis.
This means… if
you traded candlestick patterns that require gaps, you’ll rarely find it in the
forex markets.
And if you can’t find these
patterns, how can you trade them?
So… you must
“tweak” your definition of candlestick patterns to suit this market. Here’s
how:
1.
Identify candlestick pattern with a gap (bullish
engulfing, evening star, etc.)
2.
Remove the gap of these patterns An example…
1. It doesn’t tell
you how price moved
At a quick glance, candlestick pattern can tell you who’s
in control (for the moment).
But, if you want
to know how price moved from the open to the close, then it’s impossible to
tell just by looking at candlestick pattern.
Here’s what I mean:
There are many
variations of how price can move from the open to the close. The only way to
see what’s going on is to go down to a lower timeframe.
This is important
because how price moves from the open to close could signal the strength of the
underlying move.
1. Candlestick
pattern doesn’t tell you the “big picture”
I get this a lot…
Hey, Rayner, there’s bearish pinbar on the chart, it looks like the market
is heading lower.
Here’s the thing:
The market
doesn’t move higher or lower because of candlestick patterns (they are the
effect, not the cause).
So, stop trying
to predict where the market is going by looking at candlestick patterns because
it is meaningless.
Instead look at
the “big picture”, otherwise known as the trend. It tells you where the price
has been and where it’s likely to go.
How to read forex candlestick patterns like a pro
Let me share with you something…
In my early years
of trading, I came across Steve Nison’s book, Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
I was amazed by
the different patterns and the meaning behind those patterns. So, what did I
do?
I attempted to
memorize every candlestick pattern that exists… evening star, morning star,
doji, dragonfly doji, harami, engulfing pattern, three white soldiers, and the
list goes on…
But… did it
improve my trading? Heck, no.
It only made me
more confused because I’m always trying to identify these patterns, instead of
focusing on the one thing that really matters — price.
So, don’t make
the mistake of assuming that, the more candlestick patterns you memorize, the
better your trading will be… because it will not happen.
Now you’re probably thinking…
“Okay,
Rayner… so does it mean candlestick patterns are useless?” Not exactly.
My point is…
instead of memorizing the patterns, a better approach would be to understand
what the candles are telling you.
Here’s what you must know…
1. The
colour of the body tells you who’s in control
2.
The length of the wick represents price rejection
3.
The ratio of the body to the wick tells you the “whole
story” Let me explain…
1. The colour of the
body tells you who’s in control
This is a no-brainer.
When you see a
candle closing above the open, it tells you the buyers are in control
momentarily and that’s why the market closes higher.
And when you see
a candle closing below the open, it tells you the sellers are in control
momentarily and that’s why the market closes lower.
Next…
2. The length of the
wick represents price rejection
Here’s the thing:
If you get a
long upper shadow, it shows you strong rejection of higher prices. And if you
get a long lower shadow, it shows you strong rejection of lower prices. But
what if the shadow (or wick) is short?
Then it means
weak rejection of prices. Make sense right?
And finally…
1. The ratio of the
body to the wick tells you the “whole story”
Now…
You mustn’t just
pay attention to the body (or the shadow) because it’s only one-side of the
story. You must combine both to get the complete picture.
It’s like in a court case where a judge must
listen to both the plaintiff and the defendant before he gives a verdict.
Here are a couple of examples…
Strong bullish close VS weak price rejection:
This tells you the buyers are
in control as there is minimal selling pressure (the short upper wick).
Strong price rejection VS weak bullish close:
The sellers are
in control as they have reversed most of the earlier gains (long upper shadow).
So, even though it’s a bullish close, the overall picture is bearish
momentarily.
Does it make
sense? Great!
Now you have what it takes to read any candlestick pattern without
memorizing a single one.
Summary
·
You must remove gaps in traditional candlestick
patterns to suit the forex markets
·
Candlestick patterns don’t reveal how price
moved from the open to close
·
Candlestick patterns ignore the “big picture”
(otherwise known as the trend)
·
The colour of the body tells you who’s in control
·
The length of the wick represents price rejection
·
The ratio of the body to the wick tells you the
“whole story”